|Title:||Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models|
|Authors :||Yates, Katherine L.|
Bouchet, Phil J.
Caley, M Julian
Randin, Christophe F.
Fielding, Alan H.
Bamford, Andrew J.
Barbosa, A Márcia
Dormann, Carsten F.
Embling, Clare B.
Ervin, Gary N.
Graf, Roland Felix
Gregr, Edward J.
Halpin, Patrick N.
Heikkinen, Risto K.
Jones, Alice R.
Krishnakumar, Periyadan K.
Mesgaran, Mohsen B.
Ortuño Crespo, Guillermo
Peterson, A. Townsend
Roberts, Jason J.
Ross, Rebecca E.
Scales, Kylie L.
Torres, Leigh G.
Whittingham, Mark J.
Sequeira, Ana M. M.
|Published in :||Trends in Ecology & Evolution|
|Publisher / Ed. Institution :||Elsevier|
|License (according to publishing contract) :||Licence according to publishing contract|
|Type of review:||Peer review (publication)|
|Subjects :||Predictive modeling; Extrapolation; Generality; Habitat models; Model transfers; Species distribution models; Uncertainty|
|Subject (DDC) :||577: Ecology|
|Abstract:||Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their 'transferability') undermines confidence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identified priority knowledge gaps which, if filled, will most improve model transfers. These are summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underlie the combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecological predictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best practices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identification of a widely applicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify the sources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions.|
|Departement:||Life Sciences and Facility Management|
|Organisational Unit:||Institute of Natural Resource Sciences (IUNR)|
|Publication type:||Article in scientific journal|
|Appears in Collections:||Publikationen Life Sciences und Facility Management|
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