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dc.contributor.authorHirsch, Sven-
dc.contributor.authorBurggraf, Paul-
dc.contributor.authorDaheim, Cornelia-
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-06T13:17:18Z-
dc.date.available2018-12-06T13:17:18Z-
dc.date.issued2013-
dc.identifier.issn1463-6689de_CH
dc.identifier.issn1465-9832de_CH
dc.identifier.urihttps://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/13620-
dc.description.abstractPurpose: This paper makes a case for the benefits of quantified scenarios as a foresight tool for strategic planning. First it aims to set the context of quantification approaches for strategic planning in foresight. Within world models, qualitative scenarios allow for a contingency perspective of the future, however their potential to be linked to strategic planning in corporate foresight is limited. In contrast to complex world models, forecasts on key indicators are easily applied to strategy processes, but lack the necessary capability to recognise uncertainty and decision points. The paper seeks to argue for a new participative and pragmatic approach in order to bridge the gap between the opposing approaches and aims to show how this quantification approach can be integrated with scenario construction on an operational level. Design/methodology/approach: The authors discuss a quantitative scenario process and argue for its suitability to corporate foresight. They then describe a range of leanings from various foresight projects that have successfully applied quantified scenarios to strategic planning. Findings: Quantified scenarios can increase the impact foresight thinking has on corporate strategic planning. Research limitations/implications: The paper outlines the methods and tools of quantified corporate foresight, it does not include empirical evidence or concrete case studies. Practical implications: The approach outlined here can be used in corporate foresight projects in order to improve the use of scenario planning for strategy. Originality/value: This paper is the first one to outline a process for scenario quantification within corporate foresight.de_CH
dc.language.isoende_CH
dc.publisherEmeraldde_CH
dc.relation.ispartofForesightde_CH
dc.rightsLicence according to publishing contractde_CH
dc.subject.ddc658.4: Leitendes Managementde_CH
dc.titleScenario planning with integrated quantification : managing uncertainty in corporate strategy buildingde_CH
dc.typeBeitrag in wissenschaftlicher Zeitschriftde_CH
dcterms.typeTextde_CH
zhaw.departementLife Sciences und Facility Managementde_CH
zhaw.organisationalunitInstitut für Computational Life Sciences (ICLS)de_CH
dc.identifier.doi10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064de_CH
zhaw.funding.euNode_CH
zhaw.issue5de_CH
zhaw.originated.zhawYesde_CH
zhaw.pages.end374de_CH
zhaw.pages.start363de_CH
zhaw.publication.statuspublishedVersionde_CH
zhaw.volume15de_CH
zhaw.publication.reviewPeer review (Publikation)de_CH
zhaw.webfeedBiomedical Simulationde_CH
Appears in collections:Publikationen Life Sciences und Facility Management

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Hirsch, S., Burggraf, P., & Daheim, C. (2013). Scenario planning with integrated quantification : managing uncertainty in corporate strategy building. Foresight, 15(5), 363–374. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064
Hirsch, S., Burggraf, P. and Daheim, C. (2013) ‘Scenario planning with integrated quantification : managing uncertainty in corporate strategy building’, Foresight, 15(5), pp. 363–374. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064.
S. Hirsch, P. Burggraf, and C. Daheim, “Scenario planning with integrated quantification : managing uncertainty in corporate strategy building,” Foresight, vol. 15, no. 5, pp. 363–374, 2013, doi: 10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064.
HIRSCH, Sven, Paul BURGGRAF und Cornelia DAHEIM, 2013. Scenario planning with integrated quantification : managing uncertainty in corporate strategy building. Foresight. 2013. Bd. 15, Nr. 5, S. 363–374. DOI 10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064
Hirsch, Sven, Paul Burggraf, and Cornelia Daheim. 2013. “Scenario Planning with Integrated Quantification : Managing Uncertainty in Corporate Strategy Building.” Foresight 15 (5): 363–74. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064.
Hirsch, Sven, et al. “Scenario Planning with Integrated Quantification : Managing Uncertainty in Corporate Strategy Building.” Foresight, vol. 15, no. 5, 2013, pp. 363–74, https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-09-2012-0064.


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