Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-30648
Publication type: Article in scientific journal
Type of review: Peer review (publication)
Title: The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption
Authors: Hartwell, Christopher
Zadorozhna, Olha
et. al: No
DOI: 10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141
10.21256/zhaw-30648
Published in: Journal of International Management
Volume(Issue): 30
Issue: 3
Page(s): 101141
Issue Date: 23-Mar-2024
Publisher / Ed. Institution: Elsevier
ISSN: 1075-4253
1873-0620
Language: English
Subjects: Political connectivity; Sanction; Geopolitics; Political risk; Russian invasion; Ukraine
Subject (DDC): 320: Politics
658: General Management
Abstract: While a firm can minimize its own political risk, there are idiosyncratic and country-specific risks that are more difficult to control. In particular, home country governments pursue their own foreign policies independently of business, forging international linkages with other countries in pursuit of tangible benefits. But what happens when a government forges connectivity to a country which exhibits volatility or generates geopolitical shocks? This paper examines this question by studying the response of European stock markets to the ongoing (since 2014) Russian invasion of Ukraine. Using a variety of metrics to measure political connectivity, we distinguish between anti-Russian governments and governments which are more favorable to Russia during this period, combining this connectivity data with a new database of sanctions and war-related events. Applying asymmetric GARCH, panel estimations, and event study methods, we find that the uncertainty caused by Russian aggression in Ukraine has harmed financial markets in countries such as Serbia and Hungary, countries which have willingly forged connections with Russia during this time. Consistently, our empirical results show that, by tying a country to another one via political means, politicians also have tied the fortunes of their capital markets to the success or failure of this partner.
URI: https://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/30648
Fulltext version: Published version
License (according to publishing contract): CC BY 4.0: Attribution 4.0 International
Departement: School of Management and Law
Organisational Unit: International Management Institute (IMI)
Appears in collections:Publikationen School of Management and Law

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Hartwell, C., & Zadorozhna, O. (2024). The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption. Journal of International Management, 30(3), 101141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141
Hartwell, C. and Zadorozhna, O. (2024) ‘The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption’, Journal of International Management, 30(3), p. 101141. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141.
C. Hartwell and O. Zadorozhna, “The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption,” Journal of International Management, vol. 30, no. 3, p. 101141, Mar. 2024, doi: 10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141.
HARTWELL, Christopher und Olha ZADOROZHNA, 2024. The connections that bind : political connectivity in the face of geopolitical disruption. Journal of International Management. 23 März 2024. Bd. 30, Nr. 3, S. 101141. DOI 10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141
Hartwell, Christopher, and Olha Zadorozhna. 2024. “The Connections That Bind : Political Connectivity in the Face of Geopolitical Disruption.” Journal of International Management 30 (3): 101141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141.
Hartwell, Christopher, and Olha Zadorozhna. “The Connections That Bind : Political Connectivity in the Face of Geopolitical Disruption.” Journal of International Management, vol. 30, no. 3, Mar. 2024, p. 101141, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2024.101141.


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