Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-25232
Publication type: Article in scientific journal
Type of review: Peer review (publication)
Title: Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement : foothold for equity or Achilles heel?
Authors: Pauw, W. P.
Castro, P.
Pickering, J.
Bhasin, S.
et. al: No
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874
10.21256/zhaw-25232
Published in: Climate Policy
Volume(Issue): 20
Issue: 4
Page(s): 468
Pages to: 484
Issue Date: 2019
Publisher / Ed. Institution: Taylor & Francis
ISSN: 1469-3062
1752-7457
Language: English
Subjects: Nationally determined contribution; UNFCCC; Capacity building; Climate finance; Technology transfer; Equity
Subject (DDC): 363: Environmental and security problems
Abstract: The Paris Agreement’s success depends on parties’ implementation of their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) towards the Paris Agreement’s goals. In these climate action plans, most developing countries make their mitigation and adaptation contributions conditional upon receiving international support (finance, technology transfer and/or capacity building). While provision of support for NDC implementation could enhance equity among countries, the feasibility of NDC implementation might be challenged by the large number of conditional NDCs. This paper addresses the implications of this tension based on an analysis of all 168 NDCs. We find that feasibility is challenged because conditions applied to NDCs are often not well defined. Moreover, the costs of implementing all conditional contributions are too high to be covered by existing promises of support from developed countries, even if the entire annual $100 billion of climate finance were earmarked for NDC implementation. Consistent with principles of equity and the prioritization in the Paris Agreement, a higher proportion of Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS) have conditional NDCs than do other countries. However, differences between the distribution of countries requesting support and those currently receiving support, in particular among middle-income countries, demonstrates potential tensions between feasibility and equity. The article concludes with recommendations on how cost estimates and updated NDCs can be strengthened to ensure support for NDC implementation is targeted more equitably and cost-effectively.
URI: https://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/25232
Fulltext version: Published version
License (according to publishing contract): CC BY-NC-ND 4.0: Attribution - Non commercial - No derivatives 4.0 International
Departement: School of Management and Law
Organisational Unit: Center for Energy and Environment (CEE)
Appears in collections:Publikationen School of Management and Law

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Pauw, W. P., Castro, P., Pickering, J., & Bhasin, S. (2019). Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement : foothold for equity or Achilles heel? Climate Policy, 20(4), 468–484. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874
Pauw, W.P. et al. (2019) ‘Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement : foothold for equity or Achilles heel?’, Climate Policy, 20(4), pp. 468–484. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874.
W. P. Pauw, P. Castro, J. Pickering, and S. Bhasin, “Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement : foothold for equity or Achilles heel?,” Climate Policy, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 468–484, 2019, doi: 10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874.
PAUW, W. P., P. CASTRO, J. PICKERING und S. BHASIN, 2019. Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement : foothold for equity or Achilles heel? Climate Policy. 2019. Bd. 20, Nr. 4, S. 468–484. DOI 10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874
Pauw, W. P., P. Castro, J. Pickering, and S. Bhasin. 2019. “Conditional Nationally Determined Contributions in the Paris Agreement : Foothold for Equity or Achilles Heel?” Climate Policy 20 (4): 468–84. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874.
Pauw, W. P., et al. “Conditional Nationally Determined Contributions in the Paris Agreement : Foothold for Equity or Achilles Heel?” Climate Policy, vol. 20, no. 4, 2019, pp. 468–84, https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874.


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