| Publication type: | Article in scientific journal |
| Type of review: | Peer review (publication) |
| Title: | Anticipating transitions beyond the current mobility regimes : how acceptability matters |
| Authors: | Epprecht, Nils Von Wirth, Timo Stünzi, Christian Blumer, Yann |
| et. al: | No |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001 |
| Published in: | Futures |
| Volume(Issue): | 60 |
| Page(s): | 30 |
| Pages to: | 40 |
| Issue Date: | 1-Aug-2014 |
| Publisher / Ed. Institution: | Elsevier |
| ISSN: | 0016-3287 1873-6378 |
| Language: | English |
| Subjects: | Mobility regime; Radical system innovation; Scenario assessment; Socio-techical transition; Urban transportation; User acceptability |
| Subject (DDC): | 380: Transportation |
| Abstract: | Today's car-based transportation systems require a transition toward sustainability. This is particularly the case in suburban areas, where the costs for introducing a new transportation system are high due to the low population density. At the same time the negative externalities of the current mobility regime – such as health costs and congestions – are increasing rapidly. Based on expert interviews with car manufacturers, transportation authorities, environmental groups, and scientists we identify two visionary characteristics of future, more sustainable transportation systems: automated driving and sharing. Using these two characteristics, we apply the scenario-axes technique to develop four mobility scenarios for a suburban context that range from business-as-usual to a radical and more sustainable one. In an evaluation with ten criteria that measure a scenario's performance from a user perspective, the radical scenario performs worst since it does not meet current individualistic user requirements. Our findings suggest that lock-ins of users’ expectations act as barriers for the diffusion of novel transportation systems. These barriers cannot be overcome by technological innovations and regulation alone. Hence, we call for innovative arenas, wherein technology and user acceptability could co-evolve. |
| URI: | https://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/17642 |
| Fulltext version: | Published version |
| License (according to publishing contract): | Licence according to publishing contract |
| Departement: | School of Management and Law |
| Organisational Unit: | Institute for Organizational Viability (IOV) |
| Appears in collections: | Publikationen School of Management and Law |
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Epprecht, N., Von Wirth, T., Stünzi, C., & Blumer, Y. (2014). Anticipating transitions beyond the current mobility regimes : how acceptability matters. Futures, 60, 30–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001
Epprecht, N. et al. (2014) ‘Anticipating transitions beyond the current mobility regimes : how acceptability matters’, Futures, 60, pp. 30–40. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001.
N. Epprecht, T. Von Wirth, C. Stünzi, and Y. Blumer, “Anticipating transitions beyond the current mobility regimes : how acceptability matters,” Futures, vol. 60, pp. 30–40, Aug. 2014, doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001.
EPPRECHT, Nils, Timo VON WIRTH, Christian STÜNZI und Yann BLUMER, 2014. Anticipating transitions beyond the current mobility regimes : how acceptability matters. Futures. 1 August 2014. Bd. 60, S. 30–40. DOI 10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001
Epprecht, Nils, Timo Von Wirth, Christian Stünzi, and Yann Blumer. 2014. “Anticipating Transitions beyond the Current Mobility Regimes : How Acceptability Matters.” Futures 60 (August): 30–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001.
Epprecht, Nils, et al. “Anticipating Transitions beyond the Current Mobility Regimes : How Acceptability Matters.” Futures, vol. 60, Aug. 2014, pp. 30–40, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.001.
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